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Opta supercomputer issues new relegation prediction for West Ham, Tottenham and Nottingham Forest

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Assuming there is one spot in the bottom three left, it really does seem as if it is between West Ham United and Tottenham now after a win for Nottingham Forest.

Luckily, West Ham are currently slight favourites to stay in the Premier League ahead of Spurs with six games left to play this season.

Indeed, a resurgent West Ham United have opened up a gap on their north London rivals since beating them back in mid-January.

Optimist or Realist? Share your number and defend it in the comments

A graphic asking West Ham United fans how confident they are of Premie League survivial on a scale of 1-10.
Credit: Getty Images/James Gill – Danehouse

After Spurs lost to Brighton on Saturday, Nuno Espirito Santo’s side sit a point ahead of Spurs before they play Crystal Palace on Monday. Forest, however, now look to be out of it.

Opta supercomputer gives Nottingham Forest a 4.43% chance of relegation

That’s because the noted Opta supercomputer gives them just a 4.43% chance of being dragged into the Championship during their final five games of the season.

West Ham are given just a 38.97% chance of the drop, while Spurs have a 56.16% chance of relegation.

Forest came from behind to beat Burnley 3-1 at the City Ground and they duly pulled four clear of West Ham, who could close the gap down to three.

Any changes to this team? I wouldn’t drop KWP any time soon 👀

A graphic showing the XI that West Ham United should name against Crystal Palace on 20/04/2026.
Credit: GRV Media

Crucially, however, Forest are four points ahead of Spurs having played the same number of games. Even allowing for the fact that Forest have a Europa League final to consider, that’s still a significant lead over a Spurs side in genuine crisis.

This is what a win at this stage of the season can do for a team. West Ham simply have to be the protagonists in their battle against relegation and not simply react to whatever Spurs do. 

Jarrod Bowen celebrates during West Ham United v Brentford - Emirates FA Cup Fifth Round
Photo by Charlotte Wilson/Offside/Offside via Getty Images

If they play like they have done since mid-January, they can beat a Palace side surely now putting all their eggs in the Conference League basket.

Should that happen, then survival will be within only a few wins no matter what happens at Spurs.